The club season is already under way. You can join at any point - pick a club from Ekstraklasa, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A or Ligue 1. Together, they make Dobitka's top 6.
Pick a club →
The club season is already under way. You can join at any point - pick a club from Ekstraklasa, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A or Ligue 1. Together, they make Dobitka's top 6.
Pick a club →Every World Cup match went through thousands of replays here. You normally see only the most common score - the one your plan produced most often. This page collects all of them and holds them against what the pitch did.
On the left, what the engine kept producing before the match. On the right, the score that actually happened.
Replays
The pitch
1:0
Spain - Argentina
Both versions pointed at the same side - Spain. The difference was in the goals.
Knockout ties where the replays pushed the other side through. This is where the parallel World Cup really splits off - one goal the other way and the whole bracket looks different.
all 5 replays put the other side through
all 3 replays put the other side through
2 of 3 replays put the other side through
2 of 3 replays put the other side through
1 of 3 replays put the other side through
For every plan the engine replays the same match on the default setup and measures the difference in expected goals. This is how much each decision weighed.
Most heavily shifted match: 2.37 xG away from the default setup.
Each lever is averaged only over the plans that actually used it. Most players leave the style sliders alone, and folding them into one average would understate the result several times over.
Goals in the replays
853
across 103 tournament matches
Goals after minute 90
17
extra time the engine played to the end
Average minute of a goal
47.2'
counting from kick-off
40 replays out of 293 ended on exactly the score the pitch produced - goal for goal.
Landing the exact scoreline is harder than it looks: there are dozens of plausible ones.
169 out of 293 agreed on which side would come out on top.
17 versions of a match ran all the way to penalties.
They are computed live from the World Cup match plans saved in Dobitka. The engine played each plan thousands of times; the database keeps the plan's most common score, the timeline of one run that ended on it, and the probability distribution from the whole pool. Pitch results come from the tournament's match data.
The same engine is playing the season now
The World Cup is over, but the replays keep running - every round, for the club you pick.