How we score
Scoring
Short version: you score when your version of the match is better than the real one and still believable.
The full math is below, but to start you only need one question: would your lineup have realistically pulled out a better result?
Fan version
Show that you would coach the match better.
Before kickoff you set lineup, formation, style and conditional changes. After the match, Dobitka compares your version with the real coach's decisions and rewards better results, credible risk and useful changes.
See it in the demo →You are not guessing the real score
This is not betting and not a bookmaker. You do not need to predict the pitch result. Your job is to show that your lineup, setup and decisions could have produced a better credible version.
1. Result vs pitch
max 50 ptsWe compare your simulated result with the real result from your team's perspective. Turning a real defeat into a credible win scores the most.
- Real match: your team lost 0-2. Your version wins 2-1 = maximum result reward.
- Same outcome but better margin still scores, for example losing 1-3 instead of 0-4.
2. Credibility
max 25 ptsA better result still needs to look like football. A narrow win or draw can be credible; an 8-0 against an elite team is treated as fantasy.
- A common 2-1 from the 5,000 runs scores high.
- A score that appears once in 5,000 runs scores low.
3. Against the crowd
max 25 ptsYou score extra when your plan differs from the crowd and the model says that difference helped.
- A brave but sensible formation that improves the distribution can score.
- Random contrarian choices without impact do not score well.
4. Coaching decisions
max 20 ptsConditional substitutions, plan B and responses to cards or injuries are rewarded when they actually matter in the simulation.
- A 60th-minute change that creates the winning goal can score.
- A planned change that never enters the match has lower value.
World Cup tournament picks
Match lineups use the match scoring above. Tournament picks add a separate meta-picks ranking.
| Champion | 20 pts |
| Top scorer | 15 pts |
| Best goalkeeper | 10 pts |
| Group winner (× 12) | 60 pts |
| Quick set | 105 pts |
| Full picks | 229 pts |
Picks lock just before the first World Cup whistle. After lock, you can read them but not change them.